Saliency-Curated Deep Learning for Predicting Receptor Status in Breast Cancer Brain Metastases

Vollständiger Abstract

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Background: Breast cancer brain metastases (BCBMs) exhibit notable receptor discordance between primary tumors and metastases, yet obtaining intracranial biopsies is rarely practical. We created an interpretable deep learning radiogenomic model to predict estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status from MRI scans in BCBM cases. Methods: A total of 241 post-contrast T1-weighted MRIs from 142 patients were analyzed. We developed a mask-free 3D Residual Neural Network (ResNet) ensemble trained directly on cropped, bias-corrected brain images, with comprehensive 3D geometric and intensity augmentations. The model was optimized in a multi-label setting using Asymmetric Focal Loss. Hyperparameters were fine-tuned via Bayesian optimization, and class probabilities were calibrated. Additionally, Integrated Gradients (IG) offered voxel-level saliency maps. Results: Our ResNet ensemble model achieved a micro-averaged AUROC of 0.74 and a macro-averaged AUROC of 0.67. Receptor-specific AUROCs were 0.57 for ER, 0.79 for PR, and 0.64 for HER2. The F1-scores were 0.56, 0.62, and 0.88 for ER, PR, and HER2, respectively. The held-out cohort contained only four HER2-negative patients, so threshold-dependent HER2 metrics are strongly prevalence-driven and AUROC is the more appropriate summary. Qualitatively inspected saliency maps were concentrated on enhancing metastases with limited background attribution. Conclusions: This proof-of-concept study shows that a segmentation-free, interpretable 3D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) can be trained to capture receptor-associated patterns in post-contrast T1-weighted MRI of BCBMs. Accuracy was modest relative to published radiomics models, and the mask-free, single-sequence design is offered as a methodological contribution rather than a performance gain. These findings are preliminary, do not establish clinical utility, and require validation in larger, multi-center cohorts.